Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.