AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
NEC

PSV
3 - 0
Nijmegen

El Ghazi (18'), de Jong (50' pen.), Madueke (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Arsenal
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, October 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC
82.57% (-0.123 -0.12)11.09% (0.064 0.06)6.33% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.78% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)25.22% (0.09 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.79% (-0.122 -0.12)45.21% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.53% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)4.47% (0.034 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.65% (-0.11 -0.11)18.35% (0.106 0.11)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (0.085000000000001 0.09)45.05% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02% (0.067999999999998 0.07)80.98% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 82.57%
    NEC 6.33%
    Draw 11.09%
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC
3-0 @ 10.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 8.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 6.24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 2.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
6-1 @ 2.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 5.03%
Total : 82.57%
1-1 @ 4.99% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 11.09%
1-2 @ 1.99% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.6% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 6.33%

How you voted: PSV vs Nijmegen

PSV Eindhoven
93.3%
Draw
4.4%
NEC
2.2%
45
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 7pm
PSV
3-2
Nijmegen
Doan (26'), Gutierrez (36'), Zahavi (61')
Duelund (66'), Okita (72' pen.)
Dec 12, 2021 7pm
Nijmegen
1-2
PSV
Mattsson (8')
Schone (68'), Proper (90+6')
Vertessen (80'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+2')
Feb 18, 2017 6.45pm
PSV
3-1
Nijmegen
Van Ginkel (20' pen.), Ramselaar (56'), De Jong (94')
van Ginkel (22')
Messaoud (30')
Bikel (20')
Sep 10, 2016 6.45pm
Nijmegen
0-4
PSV

Dumic (16')
Ramselaar (4'), Pereiro (10'), Brenet (20'), De Jong (24')
Feb 14, 2016 3.45pm
Nijmegen
0-3
PSV

Ritzmaier (2'), Kane (11')
De Jong (16'), Van Ginkel (75'), Locadia (67')
rhs 2.0


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