Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.