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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Utrecht | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | NEC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
| 55.1% ( | 22.9% ( | 22% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( | 67.16% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( | 16.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( | 45.56% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( | 34.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.89% ( | 71.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 22% |