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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | -7 | 0 |
18 | Fortuna Sittard | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
15 | FC Utrecht | 4 | -3 | 2 |
16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
23.68% ( -1.09) | 23.13% ( -0.65) | 53.18% ( 1.74) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.02% ( 1.8) | 43.98% ( -1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.63% ( 1.74) | 66.36% ( -1.74) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.55% ( 0.06) | 32.44% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% ( 0.06) | 68.96% ( -0.06) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( 1.3) | 16.51% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( 2.3) | 46.25% ( -2.3) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.68% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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