Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 1
Sittard

van Hooijdonk (22'), van Ewijk (44')
van Aken (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Yilmaz (84' pen.)
Yilmaz (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 0-4 Heerenveen
Saturday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	AZ Alkmaar	2	3	6
7	Heerenveen	3	4	5
8	Groningen	4	-4	5

Fortuna Sittard

Last Six:

Last Game: Sittard 1-4 Cambuur
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Go Ahead Eagles	3	-6	0
17	Fortuna Sittard	3	-7	0
18	Vitesse	3	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
64.88% ( 0.05)	21.05% ( -0.03)	14.07% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.78% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.61% (

0.09)

49.39% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

0.08)

71.43% (

-0.08)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

0.05)

14.48% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.53% (

0.09)

42.46% (

-0.09)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.53% (

0.03)

46.46% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.92% (

0.02)

82.08% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 64.87%

Fortuna Sittard 14.07%

Draw 21.05%

Heerenveen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 64.87%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.05%	0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 14.07%