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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 69.1% | 18.62% | 12.28% |
| Both teams to score 48.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% | 65.4% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% | 11.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.99% | 36.01% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.71% | 45.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.84% | 81.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 12.16% 1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 4.81% 4-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.77% 5-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.64% Total : 69.09% | 1-1 @ 8.85% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.62% | 0-1 @ 4.07% 1-2 @ 3.51% 0-2 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.28% |