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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | RKC Waalwijk | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | NEC | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | SBV Excelsior | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Fortuna Sittard | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 61.75% ( | 22% ( | 16.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( | 49.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( | 71.28% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.58% ( | 15.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.74% ( | 44.26% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.68% ( | 43.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.44% ( | 79.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% ( 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.25% |