Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
0 - 0
NEC

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-1 Sittard
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	10
6	Heerenveen	4	5	8
7	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	7

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 1-1 NEC
Thursday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	SBV Excelsior	4	-5	6
9	NEC	4	2	5
10	FC Utrecht	5	-2	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
57.01% ( 0.04)	22.34% ( 0)	20.64% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

-0.07)

44.03% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

-0.07)

66.41% (

0.07)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.01)

15.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

-0.02)

43.87% (

0.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

-0.08)

35.28% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0.09)

72.04% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 57.01%

NEC 20.64%

Draw 22.34%

Heerenveen	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.01%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.34%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.64%