Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 0
Vitesse

Dost (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

Last Six:

Last Game: Sittard 3-4 Utrecht
Friday, September 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	RKC Waalwijk	5	2	6
11	FC Utrecht	5	-2	5
12	Groningen	5	-5	5

Vitesse

Last Six:

Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Vitesse
Sunday, September 4 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Cambuur	5	-4	4
14	Vitesse	5	-8	4
15	Emmen	6	-10	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Vitesse
47.44% ( 0.4)	24.54% ( 0.15)	28.02% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.43% (

-0.99)

46.57% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.93)

68.85% (

0.93)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29% (

-0.23)

19.71% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.28% (

-0.38)

51.72% (

0.38)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

-0.9)

30.37% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

-1.09)

66.57% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 47.44%

Vitesse 28.02%

Draw 24.54%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.44%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.02%