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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | FC Utrecht | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | -8 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 48.6% ( | 24.94% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( | 49.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( | 71.41% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( | 20.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.27% ( | 52.73% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( | 33.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.35% ( | 69.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.45% |