Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 9, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
0 - 1
PSV

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gakpo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, October 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Zurich 1-5 PSV
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
19.99% ( 1.54)	20.86% ( 0.88)	59.14% ( -2.41)

Both teams to score 58.92% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.82% (

-1.74)

38.18% (

1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.54% (

-1.88)

60.46% (

1.88)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

0.51)

32.55% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92% (

0.57)

69.08% (

-0.57)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.36% (

-1.2)

12.64% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.22% (

-2.55)

38.78% (

2.56)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 19.99%

PSV Eindhoven 59.14%

Draw 20.86%

Heerenveen	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.38% Total : 19.99%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.86%	1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.35) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.22) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.86% Total : 59.14%