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Europa League

FC Zurich
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Letzigrund
PSV

FC Zurich
1 - 5
PSV

Okita (87')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Vertessen (10', 15'), Gakpo (21', 55'), Simons (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Zurich and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Zurich

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Grasshopper 1-1 FC Zurich
Saturday, October 1 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Cambuur 3-0 PSV
Saturday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC ZurichDrawPSV Eindhoven
34.29% (0.145 0.15)23.67% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)42.03% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 62.19% (0.32 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (0.399 0.4)39.72% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (0.413 0.41)62.07% (-0.414 -0.41)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.26600000000001 0.27)23% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (0.391 0.39)56.81% (-0.392 -0.39)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (0.13500000000001 0.14)19.23% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (0.224 0.22)50.93% (-0.224 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 34.29%
    PSV Eindhoven 42.03%
    Draw 23.67%
FC ZurichDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.29%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.57% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: FC Zurich vs PSV

FC Zurich
17.9%
Draw
11.2%
PSV Eindhoven
70.9%
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