Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Letzigrund

FC Zurich
1 - 2
Arsenal

Kryeziu (44' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marquinhos (16'), Nketiah (62')

Reaction

Arsenal striker Eddie Nketiah pictured on September 8, 2022

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 4 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	6	7	15
2	Manchester City	6	14	14
3	Tottenham Hotspur	6	7	14

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.79%) and 1-3 (5.78%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
FC Zurich	Draw	Arsenal
31.51% ( 0.06)	18.94% ( 0.02)	49.54% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 79.42% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.7% (

-0.09)

17.3% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

65.86% (

-0.13)

34.14% (

0.12)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.51% (

-0.02)

13.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.5% (

-0.04)

40.5% (

0.03)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.8% (

-0.05)

8.19% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.3% (

-0.13)

28.69% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

FC Zurich 31.51%

Arsenal 49.55%

Draw 18.94%

FC Zurich	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.32% 2-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 4.66% Total : 31.51%	2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 4-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.94%	1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0) 2-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.88% 0-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.76% Total : 49.55%