/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Farselog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fastlog.png)
-
Gabriel Jesus
30'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
77'
-
Douglas Luiz
74'
Arsenal vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F35%2Fsteven-gerrard.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F35%2Farsavl.jpg)
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F33%2Foleksandr-zinchenko.jpeg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F34%2Fmikel-arteta.jpeg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F34%2Fgabriel.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Arsenal Goals
Aston Villa Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 59.17%
0-0 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 18.93%
Head to Head
-
Jacob Ramsey
15'
-
Tyrone Mings
33'
-
John McGinn
34'
-
Bukayo Saka
30'
-
Granit Xhaka
45'+1'
-
Cedric Soares
57'
-
Thomas Partey
65'
-
Thomas Partey
23'
-
Albert Sambi Lokonga
45'+1'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
45'+6'
-
Emile Smith Rowe
56'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
66'
-
Ollie Watkins
2'
-
Tyrone Mings
27'
-
John McGinn
32'
-
Matt Targett
60'
-
Jacob Ramsey
82'
-
Douglas Luiz
84'
-
Ollie Watkins
2'
-
Ezri Konsa
31'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
35'
-
Jack Grealish
90'+6'
-
Thomas Partey
52'
-
Granit Xhaka
90'+4'
-
Bukayo Saka
25'
(OG)
-
Ollie Watkins
72'
-
Ollie Watkins
75'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
1'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
2'
-
Douglas Luiz
1'
-
Jacob Ramsey
2'
-
Jacob Ramsey
3'
-
Trezeguet
27'
-
Douglas Luiz
71'
-
Matt Targett
87'
-
Lucas Torreira
35'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
61'
-
Sead Kolasinac
80'
-
Joe Willock
90'+1'