Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Jesus (30'), Martinelli (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (74')

Reaction

Arsenal's Gabriel Jesus celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on August 31, 2022

Gabriel Jesus breaks Mesut Ozil Arsenal record in Aston Villa win

Arsenal striker Gabriel Jesus breaks a club Premier League record previously held by Mesut Ozil in Wednesday's 2-1 win over Aston Villa at the Emirates.

Aug 31, 22:18

Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard during the defeat to Arsenal on August 31, 2022.

Steven Gerrard admits to concerns over Aston Villa future

Steven Gerrard admits that he has concerns over his long-term Aston Villa future after his side suffered a 2-1 defeat at Arsenal on Wednesday evening.

Aug 31, 21:50

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	4	8	12
2	Manchester City	4	8	10
3	Tottenham Hotspur	4	6	10

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 West Ham
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Everton	5	-2	3
16	Aston Villa	4	-4	3
17	West Ham United	4	-4	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Aston Villa
59.18% ( -0.07)	21.89% ( 0.01)	18.93% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.49% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

0.04)

44.48% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

0.04)

66.85% (

-0.04)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

-0.01)

14.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.17% (

-0.02)

42.83% (

0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

0.09)

37.32% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9% (

0.09)

74.1% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 59.17%

Aston Villa 18.93%

Draw 21.89%

Arsenal	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 59.17%	1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.89%	0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.93%