| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Everton | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Everton | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
| 50.68% ( | 25.7% ( | 23.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% ( | 54.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( | 75.89% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( | 21.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( | 54.63% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( | 38.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( | 75.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.67% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.63% |