Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Everton had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.