Nuremberg logo
Friendlies
Jul 8, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Arsenal logo

Nuremberg
3 - 5
Arsenal

Geis (24'), Duah (29'), Schleimer (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jesus (47', 75'), Elneny (54'), Schindler (57' og.), Handwerker (63' og.)
Elneny (59'), Mari (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Club Friendlies 1 clash between Nuremberg and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Friday's friendly clash with Nuremberg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
NurembergDrawArsenal
29.32% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)23.83% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.85% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)42.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.97%
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.41% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)62.88% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (0.01100000000001 0.01)18.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nuremberg 29.32%
    Arsenal 46.85%
    Draw 23.83%
NurembergDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 46.85%

How you voted: Nuremberg vs Arsenal

Nuremberg
10.2%
Draw
11.9%
Arsenal
78.0%
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