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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Aston Villa

Beaten just three times in 23 home games last season, albeit at Championship level, Bournemouth will be no pushovers at their own headquarters - but there is a gulf in quality between these two squads. Since returning to the top-flight themselves three years ago, Villa have built a setup worthy of the top half, and can use their superior firepower to take three points back to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
27.63% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.73% (0.343 0.34) 47.63% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-1.684 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-1.966 -1.97)47.66% (1.974 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-1.842 -1.84)69.86% (1.85 1.85)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-1.558 -1.56)31.23% (1.566 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-1.856 -1.86)67.57% (1.864 1.86)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.616 -0.62)20.06% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-1.007 -1.01)52.29% (1.014 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 27.63%
    Aston Villa 47.63%
    Draw 24.73%
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.285 0.29)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 27.63%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.499 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.616 0.62)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.08% (0.349 0.35)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Bournemouth
15.3%
Draw
12.0%
Aston Villa
72.7%
300
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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