A few sore heads in the Bournemouth dressing room may play into Millwall's hands here as they desperately seek a win, but the Lions have been inconsistent of late and their away record is patchy so we think that they will only manage to take a point from the South coast.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.
