Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
4 - 1
Barnsley

McNamara (31', 47'), Burke (58'), Afobe (72')
Afobe (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Palmer (49')
Kitching (26'), (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69
9	Millwall	46	8	69
10	West Bromwich Albion	46	7	67

Barnsley

Last Six:

Last Game: West Brom 4-0 Barnsley
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37
23	Derby County	46	-8	34
24	Barnsley	46	-40	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Barnsley
54.57%	26.17%	19.26%

Both teams to score 41.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.69%

60.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.53%

80.47%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25%

55.75%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.81%

46.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.13%

81.87%

Score Analysis

Millwall 54.56%

Barnsley 19.26%

Draw 26.16%

Millwall	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 15.45% 2-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.56%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.44% Total : 19.26%