Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
2 - 0
Barnsley

Morrison (22', 47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37
23	Derby County	46	-8	34
24	Barnsley	46	-40	30

Barnsley

Last Six:

Last Game: West Brom 4-0 Barnsley
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37
23	Derby County	46	-8	34
24	Barnsley	46	-40	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Barnsley
45.45%	26.88%	27.67%

Both teams to score 48.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.81%

56.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.75%

77.25%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35%

24.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83%

59.17%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29%

35.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51%

72.49%

Score Analysis

Derby County 45.44%

Barnsley 27.67%

Draw 26.87%

Derby County	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.44%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.67%