Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.