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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Reading |
| 60.61% | 22.37% | 17.03% |
| Both teams to score 48.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% | 49.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% | 71.47% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% | 15.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.91% | 45.09% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.54% | 42.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.17% | 78.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 6% 4-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.57% 5-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.07% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.77% 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.73% Total : 17.03% |