Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
4 - 1
Derby

Buchanan (15' og.), Connolly (44'), Crooks (45+3'), Watmore (89')
Tavernier (27'), Crooks (31'), Howson (50')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Bird (39')
Lawrence (27'), Ebiowei (87'), (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Derby County
56.38%	25.03%	18.59%

Both teams to score 43.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75%

57.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9%

78.1%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7%

20.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33%

52.67%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.82%

45.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.93%

81.08%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 56.37%

Derby County 18.59%

Draw 25.03%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 14.62% 2-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 4.92% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.32% Total : 56.37%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.56% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.59%