FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry
1 - 0
Derby

Hyam (42')
Shipley (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jagielka (31'), Ebosele (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Coventry City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Derby County
47.2%	26.41%	26.39%

Both teams to score 48.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.79%

55.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.56%

76.44%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61%

23.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63%

57.37%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76%

36.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97%

73.03%

Score Analysis

Coventry City 47.19%

Derby County 26.39%

Draw 26.41%

Coventry City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.19%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.39%