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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huddersfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huddersfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
| 42.91% | 26.59% | 30.5% |
| Both teams to score 50.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% | 53.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% | 75.31% |
| Huddersfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% | 24.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% | 59.48% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% | 32.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% | 68.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Huddersfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.5% |