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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 29.25% | 27.24% | 43.5% |
| Both teams to score 48.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% | 77.73% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% | 34.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% | 71.53% |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.25% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 12.17% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.5% |