FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 12.15pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
2 - 3
Middlesbrough

Hawkins (67'), Oates (85')
Hewitt (38'), O'Toole (64'), Hawkins (71')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ikpeazu (4'), Boyd-Munce (14'), O'Toole (90+5' og.)
Bamba (33'), Ikpeazu (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Mansfield Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Middlesbrough
34.51%	26.53%	38.96%

Both teams to score 52.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44%

52.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78%

74.21%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01%

28.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12%

64.87%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63%

26.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49%

61.51%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 34.51%

Middlesbrough 38.96%

Draw 26.52%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.51%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.96%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Middlesbrough

Mansfield Town

28.8%

Draw

12.1%

Middlesbrough

59.1%