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Championship header 2

Championship
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 35
Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Derby logo

Luton
1 - 0
Derby

Hylton (67')
Burke (52'), Jerome (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kazim-Richards (77'), Ebiowei (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Derby County

 While Derby have continuously battled against the odds this season, they meet a Luton side full of confidence, and we do not see them leaving Kenilworth Road with anything on Saturday. Jones's men are operating at the peak of their powers and, with a laser focus set on the playoff places, they will be gunning for another victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawDerby County
52.05%25.99%21.95%
Both teams to score 45.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93%57.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05%77.95%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99%22.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67%55.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62%41.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11%77.88%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 52.05%
    Derby County 21.95%
    Draw 25.98%
Luton TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.78%
2-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 21.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Derby

Luton Town
68.6%
Draw
17.1%
Derby County
14.3%
35
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Derby
2-2
Luton
Lawrence (20'), Knight (60')
Lawrence (90+2')
Onyedinma (49'), Adebayo (84')
Naismith (14'), Ruddock (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
2-0
Luton
Gregory (7'), Shinnie (49' pen.)
Wisdom (47'), Sibley (51'), Byrne (66'), Kazim-Richards (90+5')

Dewsbury-Hall (66'), Pearson (81')
> Match Report
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
2-1
Derby
Berry (34'), Clark (87')
Norrington-Davies (22'), Ruddock (90+4')
Marriott (52')
> Match Report
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
3-2
Derby
Ruddock (67'), Daniels (74'), Bogle (86' og.)
Ruddock (70')
Mark Rooney (63'), Martin (85')
Bogle (23'), Hamer (88'), Rooney (88'), Wisdom (94')
Lowe (88')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
2-0
Luton
Pearson (11' og.), Lawrence (70')
Shinnie (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> Championship Full Table


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