Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road

Luton
1 - 0
Derby

Hylton (67')
Burke (52'), Jerome (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kazim-Richards (77'), Ebiowei (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Derby County
52.05%	25.99%	21.95%

Both teams to score 45.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.93%

57.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05%

77.95%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99%

22.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67%

55.32%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.62%

41.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.11%

77.88%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 52.05%

Derby County 21.95%

Draw 25.98%

Luton Town	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 13.78% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.92% Total : 52.05%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Derby

Luton Town

68.6%

Draw

17.1%

Derby County

14.3%