Championship Gameweek 34
Derby
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Millwall
  • Jake Cooper 88' goal
  • Ryan Allsop 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jed Wallace 2'
  • yellowcard George Saville 29'
  • goal Tyler Burey 30'

Derby County vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 0 Peterborough
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Lawrence

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Millwall 2 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benik Afobe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 43.42%
Draw 27.66%
Millwall 28.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.95%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.55%
Under 2.5 58.45%
Over 3.5 20.95%
Under 3.5 79.04%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 73.29%
Under 0.5 26.7%
Over 1.5 38.04%
Under 1.5 61.96%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 64.05%
Under 0.5 35.94%
Over 1.5 27.28%
Under 1.5 72.72%

Score analysis

Derby County 43.42%
Draw 27.65%
Millwall 28.92%
Derby County
1-0 @ 12.67%
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.65%
Millwall
0-1 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 28.92%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 17
Millwall
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Derby
  • Scott Malone 45'+1' goal
  • Billy Mitchell 58' yellowcard
  • Jake Cooper 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 27'
  • goal Festy Ebosele 44'
  • redcard Nathan Byrne 64'
Championship Gameweek 36
Derby
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Millwall
  • Graeme Shinnie 84' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Hutchinson 45'
  • yellowcard George Evans 58'
Championship Gameweek 16
Millwall
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Derby
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 34'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 58'
  • goal Jason Knight 69'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 85'
  • yellowcard Colin Kazim-Richards 86'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 87'
Championship Gameweek 38
Millwall
Jun 20, 2020 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
Derby
  • Matt Smith 15' goal
  • Connor Mahoney 90'+3' goal
  • goal Louie Sibley 26'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 38'
  • goal Louie Sibley 71'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 89'
  • goal Louie Sibley 90'
Championship Gameweek 22
Derby
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Millwall
  • Chris Martin 57' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 25'
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 92'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 92'
Championship Gameweek 29
Derby
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Millwall
  • Tom Huddlestone 42' yellowcard
  • Richard Keogh 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Marshall 43'
  • goal Jed Wallace 72'
  • yellowcard Shaun Williams 87'
  • yellowcard Tom Elliott 96'

Form Data

Derby 1 - 0 Peterborough
Middlesbrough 4 - 1 Derby
Derby 3 - 1 Hull City
Huddersfield 2 - 0 Derby
Derby 2 - 2 Birmingham
Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 Derby
Millwall 2 - 0 QPR
Millwall 2 - 1 Cardiff
Fulham 3 - 0 Millwall
Millwall 0 - 0 Preston
Millwall 2 - 0 West Brom
Blackpool 1 - 0 Millwall