Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
