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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 29.68% | 28.47% | 41.85% |
| Both teams to score 45.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.06% | 60.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.05% | 80.95% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% | 73.49% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% | 28.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% | 64.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 13.15% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.61% Total : 41.85% |