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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 26.11% | 24.31% | 49.58% |
| Both teams to score 55.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% | 46.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% | 32.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% | 18.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.48% | 50.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% 2-1 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-3 @ 5.29% 0-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.58% |