Championship Gameweek 23
Cardiff
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Derby
  • Isaak Davies 26' yellowcard
  • Uche Ikpeazu 85' goal
  • Alfie Doughty 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 52'
  • yellowcard Curtis Davies 62'
  • yellowcard Max Bird 80'
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 90'+3'

Cardiff City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
Cardiff 0 - 1 Fulham
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Aden Flint

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
Luton 1 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Lawrence

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result

Cardiff City 47.92%
Draw 26.44%
Derby County 25.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.18%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.22%
Under 2.5 55.77%
Over 3.5 23.09%
Under 3.5 76.9%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 76.7%
Under 0.5 23.3%
Over 1.5 42.76%
Under 1.5 57.24%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 62.82%
Under 0.5 37.18%
Over 1.5 26.03%
Under 1.5 73.97%

Score analysis

Cardiff City 47.92%
Draw 26.43%
Derby County 25.64%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.43%
Derby County
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.64%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 34
Cardiff
Mar 2, 2021 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Derby
  • Leandro Bacuna 22' goal
  • Kieffer Moore 48' goal
  • Leandro Bacuna 56' goal
  • Will Vaulks 90'+3' goal
Championship Gameweek 8
Derby
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Cardiff
  • Martyn Waghorn 24' goal
  • Kamil Jozwiak 82' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 86' yellowcard
  • Mike te Wierik 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kieffer Moore 77'
  • yellowcard Sean Morrison 82'
  • yellowcard Sheyi Ojo 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 44
Cardiff
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Derby
  • Junior Hoilett 17' goal
  • Lee Tomlin 59' goal
  • Junior Hoilett 62' yellowcard
  • goal Jason Knight 30'
Championship Gameweek 7
Derby
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Cardiff
  • Scott Malone 6' goal
  • Richard Keogh 18' yellowcard
  • Tom Lawrence 88' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Glatzel 19'
  • yellowcard Lee Peltier 40'
  • yellowcard Aden Flint 97'
Championship
Derby
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Cardiff
  • Cameron Jerome 69' goal
  • Matej Vydra 82' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 90' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Paterson 11'
  • goal Callum Paterson 28'
  • yellowcard Bruno Ecuele Manga 54'
  • yellowcard Joe Bennett 66'
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 70'
Championship
Cardiff
Sep 30, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Derby
  • Loic Damour 66' yellowcard
  • Joe Bennett 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 87'

Form Data

Cardiff 0 - 1 Fulham
Huddersfield 2 - 1 Cardiff
Cardiff 1 - 1 Blackpool
Cardiff 2 - 0 Coventry
Millwall 2 - 1 Cardiff
Cardiff 4 - 0 Peterborough
Luton 1 - 0 Derby
Derby 1 - 2 Millwall
Derby 1 - 0 Peterborough
Middlesbrough 4 - 1 Derby
Derby 3 - 1 Hull City
Huddersfield 2 - 0 Derby

Build-up

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