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Championship header 2

Championship

Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Derby logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Derby

Ikpeazu (85')
Davies (26'), Doughty (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (52'), Davies (62'), Bird (80'), Ebosele (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawDerby County
47.92%26.44%25.64%
Both teams to score 48.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22%55.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09%76.9%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76%57.24%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82%37.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03%73.97%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 47.92%
    Derby County 25.64%
    Draw 26.43%
Cardiff CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.92%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.64%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Derby

Cardiff City
46.7%
Draw
27.6%
Derby County
25.7%
105
rhs 2.0


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