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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 55.55% | 24.79% | 19.66% |
| Both teams to score 45.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.86% | 55.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% | 76.38% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% | 19.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% | 51.86% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.29% | 42.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.96% | 79.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.09% 4-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.54% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.66% |