Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.