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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Coventry City |
| 40.55% | 27.06% | 32.39% |
| Both teams to score 50.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.91% | 55.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.65% | 76.34% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% | 26.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% | 61.92% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% | 31.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% | 68.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.39% |