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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 56.22% | 24.07% | 19.71% |
| Both teams to score 48.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.62% | 52.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% | 74.06% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% | 18.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.31% | 49.68% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.96% | 41.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.41% | 77.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% 2-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.42% 4-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.21% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.71% |