We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Both teams have been struggling within their respective leagues, which is why there is a lot to fight for within this particular FA Cup tie.
However, Peterborough United have slightly more quality within their group, and that should be enough to see them into the next round, while it will be a closely-contested match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.