FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Coutts (30' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
48.86%	24.41%	26.74%

Both teams to score 55.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13%

46.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88%

69.12%

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76%

19.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.04%

50.96%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5%

31.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11%

67.88%

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 48.86%

Bristol Rovers 26.74%

Draw 24.41%

Peterborough United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.11% Total : 48.86%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.78% Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bristol Rovers

Peterborough United

69.8%

Draw

14.0%

Bristol Rovers

16.3%