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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
2 - 0
Millwall

Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ballard (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
50.47%26.54%23%
Both teams to score 45.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91%58.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24%78.76%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86%23.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99%57%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08%40.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.51%77.48%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 50.46%
    Millwall 23%
    Draw 26.54%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.85%
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 8.46%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 23%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
37.1%
Draw
5.7%
Millwall
57.1%
35
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm