Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jacob Brown 19' goal
  • Josh Tymon 56' yellowcard
  • Jacob Brown 65' yellowcard
  • George Saville 70' goal
  • Jordan Thompson 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 85'

Stoke City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff 2 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jacob Brown

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Millwall 2 - 0 Huddersfield
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benik Afobe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result

Stoke City 50.47%
Draw 26.54%
Millwall 23%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.41%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.91%
Under 2.5 58.09%
Over 3.5 21.24%
Under 3.5 78.76%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 76.86%
Under 0.5 23.14%
Over 1.5 42.99%
Under 1.5 57%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 59.08%
Under 0.5 40.92%
Over 1.5 22.51%
Under 1.5 77.48%

Score analysis

Stoke City 50.46%
Draw 26.54%
Millwall 23%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.85%
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 50.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.54%
Millwall
0-1 @ 8.46%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 23%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott Malone 32' yellowcard
  • Tom Bradshaw 51' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 61' goal
  • Matt Smith 84' yellowcard
  • goal Romaine Sawyers 20'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 45'+1'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Danny Batth 37' yellowcard
  • Jacob Brown 41' goal
  • goal Murray Wallace 36'
  • goal Mason Bennett 71'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Ben Thompson 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 90'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 11, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Liam Lindsay 45' yellowcard
  • redcard Shaun Williams 85'
  • yellowcard Matt Smith 89'
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Thompson 28' goal
  • Shane Ferguson 45' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace 75' goal
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2019 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den (London)
  • Ryan Leonard 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Shawcross 74'
  • yellowcard James McClean 84'