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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bournemouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Stoke City |
| 54.44% | 24.37% | 21.19% |
| Both teams to score 49.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.18% | 51.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% | 73.58% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% | 18.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% | 50.48% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% | 39.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% | 75.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.96% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.42% Total : 21.19% |