Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Baker (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Bristol City	46	-15	55
18	Cardiff City	46	-18	53
19	Hull City	46	-13	51

Stoke City

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Preston North End	46	-4	64
14	Stoke City	46	5	62
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
34.92%	28.44%	36.64%

Both teams to score 46.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.13%

59.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86%

80.14%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62%

32.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11%

68.89%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73%

31.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37%

67.63%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 34.91%

Stoke City 36.64%

Draw 28.43%

Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.91%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.64%