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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baker (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

The two sides meet with contrasting levels of confidence, and we back the Bluebirds to continue their improvement. O'Neill will feel that his side need a victory to salvage their season and for him to gain some favour back in Staffordshire, but we expect them to fall just short given their lack of momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
34.92%28.44%36.64%
Both teams to score 46.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.13%59.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86%80.14%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11%68.89%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37%67.63%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.91%
    Stoke City 36.64%
    Draw 28.43%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 11.77%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.64%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
64.9%
Draw
24.7%
Stoke City
10.4%
77
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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