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Championship | Gameweek 17
Dec 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Cardiff

Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

The Potters were leading 1-0 when Vokes failed to score from 12 yards.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
34.6%27.25%38.15%
Both teams to score 50%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54%55.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35%76.65%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45%66.55%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11%63.89%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 34.59%
    Cardiff City 38.14%
    Draw 27.24%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 10.83%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
60.4%
Draw
29.0%
Cardiff City
10.6%
245