Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
0 - 1
Luton

Bagan (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Bristol City	46	-15	55
18	Cardiff City	46	-18	53
19	Hull City	46	-13	51

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Luton
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Luton Town
32.14%	27.38%	40.48%

Both teams to score 49.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.63%

56.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61%

77.39%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54%

32.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01%

68.98%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69%

27.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24%

62.75%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 32.14%

Luton Town 40.47%

Draw 27.37%

Cardiff City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.14%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.47%