Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.