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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Coventry City | 46 | 1 | 64 |
| 13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 38.96% | 28.97% | 32.07% |
| Both teams to score 44.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.98% | 62.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.25% | 81.75% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% | 30.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% | 67.22% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% | 35.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% | 72.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.1% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.96% | 0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.07% Total : 32.06% |