Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.78%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.