Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
1 - 0
Preston

Morrison (80')
Davies (66'), Knight (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Whiteman (61'), Johnson (87')
Lindsay (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37
23	Derby County	46	-8	34
24	Barnsley	46	-40	30

Preston North End

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 4-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Coventry City	46	1	64
13	Preston North End	46	-4	64
14	Stoke City	46	5	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
43.68%	27.93%	28.39%

Both teams to score 45.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.38%

59.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06%

79.94%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89%

27.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.5%

62.5%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63%

37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.22%

73.78%

Score Analysis

Derby County 43.68%

Preston North End 28.39%

Draw 27.92%

Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.39%