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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Loftus Road
Derby logo

QPR
1 - 0
Derby

Amos (88')
Dozzell (59'), Field (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (56')
Lawrence (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
52.85%23.87%23.29%
Both teams to score 53.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22%48.79%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24%34.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51%71.49%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 52.84%
    Derby County 23.29%
    Draw 23.86%
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 23.29%

How you voted: QPR vs Derby

Queens Park Rangers
44.6%
Draw
19.6%
Derby County
35.7%
56
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2021 7.45pm
Derby
1-2
QPR
Lawrence (10')
Willock (50'), Gray (90')
Gray (90+1')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
QPR
Waghorn (23')
Malone (16')
Eze (45' pen.)
Osayi-Samuel (49'), Cameron (75'), Manning (88')