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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
City Ground
QPR logo

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
QPR

Spence (55'), Yates (83'), Johnson (87')
Yates (62'), Davis (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gray (40')
Dozzell (36'), Dunne (43'), Field (54'), Wallace (60'), Odubajo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawQueens Park Rangers
48.86%26.6%24.54%
Both teams to score 46.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88%57.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%77.99%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55%57.45%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09%38.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36%75.64%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 48.86%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.54%
    Draw 26.6%
Nottingham ForestDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 13.23%
2-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs QPR

Nottingham Forest
58.6%
Draw
18.4%
Queens Park Rangers
23.0%
87
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Dykes (45+4')
Dozzell (43'), Johansen (83')
Colback (90+1')
Worrall (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-1
QPR
Mighten (44'), Grabban (63'), Garner (69')
Yates (32'), Krovinovic (66'), Christie (89')
Dykes (90+2')
Johansen (73')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
QPR
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Dykes (54' pen.), Chair (90+4')
Dykes (77')

Figueiredo (53'), Gabriel (62')
Nov 27, 2019 7.45pm
QPR
0-4
Nott'm Forest

Scowen (57')
Wallace (50')
Figueiredo (15'), Grabban (81'), Carvalho (88'), Semedo (91')
Cash (52'), Bostock (76')