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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 17 | 82 |
4 | Nottingham Forest | 46 | 33 | 80 |
5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Reading |
58.72% | 23.28% | 18% |
Both teams to score 47.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.4% | 51.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.61% | 73.39% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.71% | 17.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.37% | 47.63% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.45% | 42.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.09% | 78.91% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.71% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.29% 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.8% Total : 18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 80 | 37 | 43 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |