Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.