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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 31.45% | 25.97% | 42.58% |
| Both teams to score 53.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% | 50.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% | 72.85% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% | 30.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% | 66.36% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% | 23.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% | 57.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.58% |